Wednesday, February 21, 2007

UK is accused of failing children

Child in silhouette
Unicef says the study is the first of its kind for child well-being
The UK has been accused of failing its children, as it comes bottom of a league table for child well-being across 21 industrialised countries.

Unicef looked at 40 indicators from the years 2000-2003 including poverty, family relationships, and health.

One of the report's authors told the BBC that under-investment and a "dog-eat-dog" society were to blame for Britain's poor performance.

The government says its policies have helped to improve child welfare.

Unicef - the United Nations children's organisation - says Child Poverty in Perspective: An Overview of Child Well-being in Rich Countries is the first study of childhood across the world's industrialised nations.

CHILDREN'S VIEWS
Parents should spend more time with their kids
Megan, 9, Aberdeen

In its league table the Netherlands came top, followed by Sweden, Denmark and Finland.

Unicef UK executive director David Bull said all the countries had weaknesses that needed to be addressed.

"By comparing the performance of countries we see what is possible with a commitment to supporting every child to fulfil his or her full potential," he said.

'Dog-eat-dog society'

The authors say they used the most up-to-date information to assess "whether children feel loved, cherished, special and supported, within the family and community, and whether the family and community are being supported in this task by public policy and resources".

But they added: "The process of international comparison can never be freed from questions of translation, culture, and custom."

We simply cannot ignore these shocking findings
Bob Reitemeier
Children's Society

Professor Jonathan Bradshaw, from York University, one of the report's authors, put the UK's poor ratings down to long term under-investment and a "dog-eat-dog" society.

"In a society which is very unequal, with high levels of poverty, it leads on to what children think about themselves and their lives. That's really what's at the heart of this," he said.

The UK government said its initiatives in areas such as poverty, pregnancy rates, teenage smoking, drinking and risky sexual behaviour had helped improve children's welfare.

Welfare reform minister Jim Murphy said the Unicef study was important, although it used some data which was now out of date.

CHILD WELL-BEING TABLE
1. Netherlands
2. Sweden
3. Denmark
4. Finland
5. Spain
6. Switzerland
7. Norway
8. Italy
9. Republic of Ireland
10. Belgium
11. Germany
12. Canada
13. Greece
14. Poland
15. Czech Republic
16. France
17. Portugal
18. Austria
19. Hungary
20. United States
21. United Kingdom
Source: Unicef

"Hopefully it leads to a wider conversation about what more we can do to eradicate poverty," he said.

Unicef's league table drew on sources including the OECD Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) and the World Health Organization's survey of Health Behaviour in School-age Children (HBSC) aged 11, 13 and 15.

For the UK, the HBSC survey is taken from responses of residents of England only. Unicef also said some PISA indicators for the UK should be treated with caution because of low sample response rates.

The Children's Society launched a website to coincide with the report, www.mylife.uk.com, which allows children to answer a series of surveys about their lives.

Chief executive Bob Reitemeier said: "We simply cannot ignore these shocking findings.

REPORT CATEGORIES
Material well-being
Family and peer relationships
Health and safety
Behaviour and risks
Own sense of well-being [educational]
Own sense of well-being [subjective]

Most computers will open PDF documents automatically, but you may need to download Adobe Acrobat Reader.

"Unicef's report is a wake-up call to the fact that, despite being a rich country, the UK is failing children and young people in a number of crucial ways."

The Children's Commissioner for England, Professor Sir Al Aynsley-Green, said: "We are turning out a generation of young people who are unhappy, unhealthy, engaging in risky behaviour, who have poor relationships with their family and their peers, who have low expectations and don't feel safe."

UK REPORT FINDINGS
UK child poverty has doubled since 1979
Children living in homes earning less than half national average wage - 16%
Children rating their peers as "kind and helpful" - 43%
Families eating a meal together "several times" a week - 66%
Children who admit being drunk on two or more occasions - 31%

Colette Marshall, UK director of Save the Children, said it was "shameful" to see the UK at the bottom of the table.

Shadow Chancellor George Osborne accused Chancellor Gordon Brown of having "failed this generation of children".

"After 10 years of his welfare and education policies, our children today have the lowest well-being in the developed world," he said.

reposted from: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6359363.stm
my highlights / emphasis / comments

Action plan for killer asteroids

By Jonathan Fildes
Science and technology reporter, BBC News, San Francisco

Asteroid Mathilde  Image: Nasa
Nasa is tracking many asteroids
A draft UN treaty to determine what would have to be done if a giant asteroid was on a collision course with Earth is to be drawn up this year.

The document would set out global policies including who should be in charge of plans to deflect any object.

It is the brainchild of the Association of Space Explorers, a professional body for astronauts and cosmonauts.

At the moment, Nasa is monitoring 127 near-Earth objects (NEO) that have a possibility of hitting the Earth.

The association has asked a group of scientists, lawyers, diplomats and insurance experts to draw up the recommendations.

The group will have its first meeting in Strasbourg in May this year. It is hoped the final document will be presented to the UN in 2009.

"We believe there needs to be a decision process spelled out and adopted by the United Nations," said Dr Russell Schweickart, one of the Apollo 9 astronauts and founder of the Association of Space Explorers.

Known threat

The threat of an asteroid hitting the Earth is being taken more and more seriously as more and more NEOs are found.

In the US, Congress has charged Nasa with the task of starting a more detailed search for life-threatening space rocks.

"Congress has said that Nasa's efforts to date are not sufficient to the threat," said the US space agency's Dr Steven Chesley.

"They have changed Nasa's targets so that the cataloguing and tracking of asteroids is part of its mandate."

Congress has asked the agency to mount a much more aggressive survey.

At the moment, Nasa tracks all objects greater than 700m (2,300ft) in diameter. The agency's new goal is to track all objects greater than 70m (230ft) in diameter.

To do this, the agency needs to use a new suite of telescopes.

Alternatives include building a new Nasa-owned system or investing in other proposed telescopes such as the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) or the Panoramic Survey Telescope & Rapid Response System (Pan-Starrs).

Pan-Starrs is a wide-field telescope being developed at the University of Hawaii, whilst the LSST is a proposed ground-based instrument being developed by the not-for-profit LSST corporation based in the US.

Nasa estimates that there are about 20,000 potentially threatening asteroids yet to be discovered.

"Out of those thousands, there will be without question many that look like they might hit the Earth with a high enough probability that the public and everyone else will be concerned," said Dr Schweickart.

"This has gone from being an esoteric statistical argument to talking about real events," added Dr David Morrison, an astronomer at the Nasa's Ames Research Center.

Future plans

The UN draft treaty would establish who should be in charge in the event of an asteroid heading towards Earth, who would pay for relief efforts and the policies that should be adopted.

In addition, it would set out possible plans to deflect the object.

Ideas could include hitting the asteroid with a spacecraft or rocket to deflect its orbit.

Other less destructive proposals include a "gravity tug" that would simply hover over the asteroid and use gravity as a "towline" to change its path.

But any decision to deflect an NEO could come with its own set of conundrums for the UN, as changing its path may simply alter its final target.

"It's important to understand when you start to deflect an asteroid that certain countries are going to have accept an increase in risk to their populations in order to take the risk to zero for everyone," said Dr Schweickart.

It is difficult decisions like this that can only be addressed by the UN, the Association of Space Explorers believes.

And it is under no illusion that the process can be sorted out quickly.

"You have to act when things look like they are going to happen - if you wait until you know for certain, it's too late," said Dr Schweickart.

Experts who will draw up the treaty include Lord Rees, the English Astronomer Royal and head of the Royal Society; the ex-director of science at the European Space Agency, Roger Bonnet; and former UK government advisor Sir Crispin Tickell.

The proposals were outlined at the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) annual meeting in San Francisco, US.


reposted from: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/6370817.stm
my highlights / emphasis / comments

Submitting a Podcast to Think Humanist

How to submit your Thought for the day

If you′d like to offer your own secular TFTD, the rules are quite simple.

Think of an ethical issue and present your case in an interesting and imaginative way.
Your script should be no longer than 400 words, or about 2 minutes in length.
Make it topical or timeless - don′t navel gaze or rant.
Record it as an MP3 file and when you′re happy that it′s as good as you can make it, please use the form below to let us know and we will send you instructions for submitting your TFTD.

We′ll listen to it and if it′s suitable, we′ll let you know before we podcast it.

reposted from: http://www.thinkhumanist.org/podsub.php
my highlights / emphasis / comments


Humanist Ceremonies - Gillian Stewart

Gillian Stewart talks about Humanist Ceremonies - how humanist funerals differ from religious funerals.

Thought For The Day - Transcript - Gillian Stewart - 17th February 2007
I’m not telling you anything new when I say that religion has been around for a long, long time and, historically, one of its roles has been to mark the various rites of passage that humans experience in their lifetimes.

So why now, at this time in our history, do we need a secular alternative? The answer is quite simple really, in this day and age people expect and indeed demand choice. It’s no longer acceptable just to say ‘That’s the way it’s always been done’, because as humans we are constantly striving to find better, more suitable alternatives to pretty much everything in life, and that includes living!

And humanism offers a real way of being in the 21st Century, because it’s basic philosophy is about treating each other and the world we live in with respect – issues that have certainly always been relevant, but I would suggest never more so than at this point in our history. Amazingly there are still a great many people out there who haven’t even heard of humanism, let alone know what it means, so as a celebrant who conducts a variety of non-religious ceremonies I consider myself to be on the front line of offering people a positive experience of humanism.

So what’s so different about a humanist ceremony you might ask? Well many people comment that our ceremonies are extremely enjoyable and this applies to our funerals in particular, which you might find a strange thing to say! I think what is meant by that is that what we offer is a very real and very personal tribute of the person who has died and those close to the deceased find great comfort in that. When conducting a funeral ceremony I always meet with members of the family and hopefully friends of the deceased too. The more people I can speak to, the more honest a picture I can build up of the person who is being remembered, warts and all! Understandably there are often tears, but there can often be laughter too, because I’m focusing on the life of that person, not just their death. Hilary Stanton Zunin once said “The risk of love is loss, and the price of loss is grief”, and of course it is deeply sad when someone that we love has died, but the fact that they lived and enriched the lives of those around them deserves to be celebrated too.

Each and every one of us has a unique part to play in this world, and our ceremonies focus on that uniqueness. And whether I’m welcoming a new life into the world, celebrating the joining of two lives in marriage, or remembering with joy and compassion the life of a loved one, I do so with the utmost respect because we are all the same and basically that’s what humanism means to me…being human. I wonder what it means to you?

Details: Gillian Stewart


Gillian Stewart

My background lies in Nursery Nursing and over the years I have worked at the Queen Mother's Special Care Baby Unit at Yorkhill Hospital in Glasgow, at a Nursery School and Family Centre in Fife, and along with 2 other women run my own successful private Nursery business.
In 1987 our son Roy was born. Unfortunately he had a serious heart and lung condition, which meant that his life was limited. Sadly Roy died when he was just 4 years old and my husband and I were devastated. This loss, along with other painful losses of both my parents, gradually led me towards humanism.
When we suffer such losses it makes us question what life is all about, and I decided that I wanted to use my experiences positively and in a way that would help others. So I started working with the families of children with life-limiting illnesses at Rachel House Children's Hospice in Kinross. It was a truly wonderful experience and I learned so much.
However there finally came a point in my life where I had to think about moving on and when I discovered humanism it felt like the last piece in the jigsaw puzzle had fallen into place, and since becoming a humanist celebrant I have been both challenged and fulfilled in the role of conducting non-religious ceremonies to mark the important events that occur throughout our lives. Whether it's a baby naming, a wedding or a funeral, my aim is to create a personal and memorable experience for everyone involved.
www.humanism-scotland.org.uk
Download the transcript of this Thought For Today



20-02-2007 (1.38 MB)
Download Gillian Stewart - Duration: 3:01

Freeze 'condemned Neanderthals'

Neanderthal skull from Forbes Quarry, Gibraltar  Image: Gibraltar Museum
Small pockets of Neanderthals clung on in the south (Image: Gibraltar Museum)
A sharp freeze could have dealt the killer blow that finished off our evolutionary cousins the Neanderthals, according to a new study.

The ancient humans are thought to have died out in most parts of Europe by about 35,000 years ago.

And now new data from their last known refuge in southern Iberia indicates the final population was probably beaten by a cold spell some 24,000 years ago.

reposted from: BBC
my highlights / emphasis / comments

The research is reported by experts from the Gibraltar Museum and Spain.

They say a climate downturn may have caused a drought, placing pressure on the last surviving Neanderthals by reducing their supplies of fresh water and killing off the animals they hunted.

Sediment cores drilled from the sea bed near the Balearic Islands show the average sea-surface temperature plunged to 8C (46F). Modern-day sea surface temperatures in the same region vary from 14C (57F) to 20C (68F).

In addition, increased amounts of sand were deposited in the sea and the amount of river water running into the sea also plummeted.

Southern refuge

Neanderthals appear in the fossil record about 350,000 years ago and, at their peak, these squat, physically powerful hunters dominated a wide range, spanning Britain and Iberia in the west to Israel in the south and Uzbekistan in the east.

Our own species, Homo sapiens, evolved in Africa, and displaced the Neanderthals after entering Europe about 40,000 years ago.

Carihuela cave   Image: Santiago Fernandez Jimenez/Jose Sebastian Carrion
Neanderthals held on at sites like Carihuela (Image: S Fernandez Jimenez/J Carrion)
During the last Ice Age, the Iberian Peninsula was a refuge where Neanderthals lived on for several thousand years after they had died out elsewhere in Europe.

These creatures (Homo neanderthalensis) had survived in local pockets during previous Ice Ages, bouncing back when conditions improved. But the last one appears to have been characterised by several rapid and severe changes in climate which hit a peak 30,000 years ago.

Southern Iberia appears to have been sheltered from the worst of these. But about 24,000 years ago, conditions did deteriorate there.

This event was the most severe the region had seen for 250,000 years, report Clive Finlayson, from the Gibraltar Museum; Francisco Jimenez-Espejo, from the University of Granada, Spain; and colleagues.

Their findings are published in the journal Quaternary Science Reviews.

Rare event

"It looks pretty severe and also quite short," Professor Finlayson told BBC News.

"Things like olive trees and oak trees that are still with us today managed to ride it out. But a very fragmented, stressed population of Neanderthals - and perhaps other elements of the fauna - did not."

The cause of this chill may have been cyclical changes in the Earth's position relative to the Sun - so-called Milankovitch cycles.

How Gibraltar might have looked in Neanderthal times

But a rare combination of freezing polar air blowing down the Rhone valley and Saharan air blowing north seems to have helped cool this part of the Mediterranean Sea, contributing to the severe conditions.

Gorham's Cave on Gibraltar shows evidence of occupation by groups of Neanderthals until 24,000 years ago. But thereafter, researchers have found no signs of their presence.

However, in an interesting new development, scientists are also now reporting another site, from south-east Spain, which has yielded evidence for the late survival of Neanderthals.

In a study published in the journal Geobios, Jose Carrion, from the University of Murcia, Spain, and colleagues analysed pollen from soil layers at Carihuela cave to determine how vegetation had changed in the area during the past 15,000 years.

During the course of this work, they also obtained ages for sediment samples from the cave, using radiocarbon dating and uranium-thorium dating.

Sediment layers containing stone tools of a style known to have been made by Neanderthals were found to date from 45,000 years ago until 21,000 years ago.

Caution needed

The radiocarbon dates are "raw", and do not exactly correspond to calendar dates. They cannot therefore be compared directly with those from Gibraltar, which have been calibrated with calendar dates.

Neanderthal bones have also been excavated from these sediment units, including a male skull fragment which could potentially be very recent. But Professor Carrion is extremely reluctant to draw firm conclusions about the site based on the evidence so far.

Ephedra distachya pollen   Image: Santiago Fernandez Jimenez/Jose Sebastian Carrion
Pollen records the environment in which Neanderthals lived (Image: S Fernandez Jimenez/J Carrion)
Spanish archaeologists carried out a detailed excavation of Carihuela between 1979 and 1992. But the cave is currently closed due to a dispute between national and regional governments over rights to dig at the cave.

"The human bones have been recovered in different excavation campaigns over 50 years. The relationship between them and the dates I provide must be treated with caution," Professor Carrion told BBC News.

He added that sediments in parts of the cave could have been churned up, mixing old bones in with younger material. He suggested Carihuela should be re-excavated to resolve some of the controversies surrounding the site.

Clive Finlayson suggested the late Neanderthal dates from Carihuela might agree well with those from Gibraltar after they were calibrated.

Infographic, BBC

16 Mind-Blowing Microphotographs of Living Things

If you ever played with a starter microscope set as a kid, you may have felt the amazement of creating a miniature world simply by placing a drab little speck of matter under its objective lens. That same sense of wonder surely drove the winners of the 2006 Olympus BioScapes Digital Imaging Competition, an annual contest for the best microphotographs of living (or once living) things.

Click here to see the photos.

reposted from: SciAm
my highlights / emphasis / comments




Why altruism paid off for our ancestors

Humans may have evolved altruistic traits as a result of a cultural “tax” we paid to each other early in our evolution, a new study suggests.

The research also changes what we knew about the genetic makeup of our hunter-gatherer ancestors.

The origin of human altruism has puzzled evolutionary biologists for many years (see Survival of the nicest).

In every society, humans make personal sacrifices for others with no expectation that it will be reciprocated. For example, we donate to charity, or care for the sick and disabled. This trait is extremely rare in the natural world, unless there is a family relationship or later reciprocation.

One theory to explain how human altruism evolved involves the way we interacted as groups early in our evolution. Towards the end of the Pleistocene period – about 12,000 years ago – humans foraged for food as hunter-gatherers. These groups competed against each other for survival.

Group dynamics

Under these conditions, altruism towards other group-members would improve the overall fitness of the group. If an individual defended the group but was killed, any genes that the individual shared with the overall group would still be passed on.

Many researchers reject this model, however. One reason is that competition between individuals is likely to increase if a group becomes isolated, and any altruistic behaviour would then decrease an individual’s level of fitness compared with other members.

Biologists also assume that hunter-gatherer groups around this time period would have been insufficiently genetically related to favour altruism. In other words, die when defending the group and your genes die with you.

Ancient ways

Now a new study by Samuel Bowles at the Santa Fe Institute in New Mexico, US, breathes new life into the model. Bowles conducted a genetic analysis of contemporary foraging groups, including Australian aboriginals, native Siberian Inuit populations and indigenous tribal groups in Africa.

The genetic variation found within these modern-day groups was analysed and then used to estimate the kind of genetic variation that would have existed in ancestral populations of hunter-gatherer from the Pleistocene and early Holocene (150,000 to 10,000 years ago, combined). “These modern groups live today as most scholars believe our distant ancestors did,” Bowles explains.

He calculated that early human individuals were likely to be substantially more related to each other than previously thought. But Bowles found bigger genetic differences than expected between discrete groups of ancient peoples. These conditions would have favoured altruistic behaviour, says Bowles.

Challenging times

Bowles also worked out that early customs such as food sharing or monogamy could have levelled out the “cost” of altruistic behaviour, in the same way that income taxes redistribute income in society. He assembled genetic, climactic, archaeological, ethnographic and experimental data to examine the cost-benefit relationship of human cooperation in ancient populations.

In his model, members of a group bearing genes for altruistic behaviour pay a "tax" by limiting their reproductive opportunities to benefit from sharing food and information, thereby increasing the average fitness of the group as well as their inter-relatedness. Bands of altruistic humans would then act together to gain resources from other groups at this challenging time in history.

For example, an injury may be one of the costs of defending the group during an intergroup conflict: a broken leg could be fatal for an individual who may starve through being unable to obtain his own food. But food sharing would make it less of a risk for individuals to participate in these conflicts, Bowles says.

One-woman men

The archaeological and ethnographic data he used showed that 13% to 15% of foragers died from wars, which were common between groups. Bowles’s mathematical models suggest that altruism must have been a significant factor in these populations. Although Bowles admits that he has found no evidence for any gene for human altruism, he says that if such a genetic disposition were to exist, group conflict would have played an important role in its development.

Monogamy would also level the playing field within the group, he showed in his statistical analysis. “Monogamy limits the ability of the stronger or more aggressive males to monopolise copulation,” says Bowles. “Humans are very unusual in this way.”

Bowles’s paper is original, says Robert Boyd at the University of California, Los Angeles, US, who wrote an accompanying paper. A model of the evolution of altruism based on group selection is now more plausible, he says. “I am still not completely convinced, but I am much more willing to entertain the hypothesis,” he says.

Journal reference: Science (vol 314, p 1569)


reposted from: New Scientist
my highlights / emphasis / comments

Best scientific advice must be used to understand bird flu risks

The Government risks not being properly prepared if a future outbreak of avian flu were to result in a human influenza pandemic the Royal Society warned today (6 February 2007).

The Royal Society said that the Government has still not taken onboard the recommendations of last year's joint Royal Society and Academy of Medical Science report on preparing for a potential influenza pandemic. According to the report, "Pandemic influenza: science to policy", the Government is not making the best use of independent scientific advice when making critical decisions on issues such as the stockpiling of antiviral drugs.

Dr John McCauley, a member of the Royal Society/ Academy of Medical Science working group on pandemic influenza, said: "Hopefully this particular outbreak has been contained and it is important to stress that the risk of the virus spreading to humans is minimal. However, should a bird flu virus become able to adapt to humans, it could leave us facing a flu pandemic. There have been three pandemics in the last 100 years, one of which killed 40 million people in 1918. It is important that everything possible is done to ensure that doesn't happen"

The Royal Society and Academy of Medical Sciences report recommended that:

  • DEFRA should set up a vaccination committee to advise the department on the development of its vaccination strategies across all animal diseases, including avian influenza.
  • The virus must be carefully monitored so we can understand how minor changes or mutations to the virus can potentially affect its ability to spread. As the virus mutates its ability to be transmitted between animals, animals and humans or potentially between humans may also increase.
  • A leading influenza specialist should be appointed as a high-level adviser to government ensure that its monitoring and response to such outbreaks is based on the best scientific advice
  • The Department of Health and the vaccine industry should continue to evaluate the use of whole virus vaccines and monitor the results of ongoing trials of whole virus vaccines against H5N1
  • The Department of Health should revisit it its decision to stockpile only one anti-viral Tamiflu in light of emerging scientific evidence that H5N1 can develop resistance to this drug

reposted from: http://www.royalsoc.ac.uk/news.asp?id=5883
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Love thy neighbour - so you can kill the others off

IT HAS been dubbed the Samaritan paradox. Why have we evolved to do altruistic things like giving blood or caring for the sick without expecting them to do the same for us? Bizarrely, it could be because it makes us better at waging war.

Samuel Bowles, an economist at the Santa Fe Institute in New Mexico, studied modern hunter-gatherer groups along with archaeological evidence of early human conflicts and data on climate and other environmental variables from about 150,000 years ago. He concluded that the struggle for survival faced by early humans was so severe that war among groups and the wholesale destruction of localised populations was common (Science, vol 314, p 1569).

Bowles then constructed a mathematical model that pitted groups with genes for altruistic behaviour against groups without. Altruism protects the group against the costs of combat, he says. For example, one of the consequences of an inter-group conflict may be a broken leg - a potentially fatal injury for the person affected, as it would leave them unable to forage. Food sharing would mean they could survive, ultimately making it less risky for the group to go to war.

Biologists have long written off differences in survival between groups as an important driver of evolution, as natural selection works on genes, not groups. But Bowles's model incorporates gene differences, making his idea more plausible, says anthropologist Robert Boyd of the University of California, Los Angeles.

From issue 2582 of New Scientist magazine, 16 December 2006, page 18

reposted from: NewScientist
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Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Interview with Alister McGrath, author of 'The Dawkins Delusion?'

Religious persuasion
Tuesday, February 06, 2007
By Judith Cole

World famous atheist Richard Dawkins' book The God Delusion was published to massive media hype last year. Now, in a major response to its claims, Alister McGrath (54,), Professor of Historical Theology at Oxford University, and his wife Joanna Collicutt McGrath (52), lecturer in the psychology of religion at University of London, hit back in their book The Dawkins Delusion?

Professor McGrath, who grew up in Downpatrick and attended Methodist College, Belfast, before becoming a research biochemist at Oxford and then an ordained priest in the Church of England, tells Judith Cole how he found faith in God and why it is atheism itself which is deluded

Reposted from:
http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/features/daily-features/article2241900.ece

reposted from: http://richarddawkins.net/article,622,n,n
my highlights / emphasis / comments

What did you think of Richard Dawkins' book The God Delusion?

I thought it was very interesting but not very good. It contains a lot of hopeless exaggerations and rather odd arguments. My wife and I decided we would together write a response to identify the main line of arguments Dawkins uses and respond to them.


Richard Dawkins says that faith is irrational. What do you think?

Dawkins has this idea that faith is simply a refusal to think, a process of non-thinking. But it's obvious that people think a lot about their faith and this is grounds for evidence - but it's not the same as scientific proof. It belongs in a different category. We're particularly critical of his statements that religious people are not allowed to try and prove their beliefs when it's clear that lots of people do. In Belfast you might think of CS Lewis, an obvious example of a Christian who thought it was very important to set out the rational grounds for belief.

Dawkins says that because faith must be irrational, there has to be some biological or psychological way of explaining why so many people - in fact, by far the greater part of the world's population - fall victim to such a delusion. One of the explanations that Dawkins offers is that believing in God is like being infected with a contagious virus, which spreads throughout entire populations. Yet biological viruses are not merely hypothesised. They can be identified, observed, and their structure and mode of operation determined. This hypothetical 'virus of the mind' is an essentially polemical construction, devised to discredit ideas that Dawkins does not like.

As a scientist you spent years carrying out research in biochemistry at Oxford University before becoming a theologian. What do you say to Dawkins' claim that real scientists can't be religious believers?

It's obvious that this is simply not an adequate analysis of the situation. In the same year that Dawkins' book, The God Delusion, was published two other books came out, one called The Language of God: A Scientist Presents Evidence for Belief, by Francis Collins, who directed the human genome project, and the other was God's Universe, by Owen Gingerich, who is professor of astronomy at Harvard University. These are both top of the range scientists who say their Christian faith makes a lot more sense of science than anything else.

What about his main argument, that religion leads to violence and oppression?

Dawkins treats this as a defining characteristic of religion, airbrushing out of his somewhat skimpy account of the roots of violence any suggestion that it might be the result of political fanaticism - or even atheism. He is adamant that he himself, as a good atheist, would never fly aeroplanes into skyscrapers, or commit any other outrageous act of violence or oppression. Good for him. Neither would I. Yet the harsh reality is that religious and anti-religious violence has happened, and is likely to continue to do so.

As someone who grew up in Northern Ireland, I know about religious violence only too well. There is no doubt that religion can generate violence. But it's not alone in this. The history of the 20th century has given us a frightening awareness of how political extremism can equally cause violence. In Latin America, millions of people seem to have 'disappeared' as a result of ruthless campaigns of violence by right wing politicians and their militias. In Cambodia, Pol Pot eliminated his millions in the name of socialism. The rise of the Soviet Union was of particular significance. Lenin regarded the elimination of religion as central to the socialist revolution, and put in place measures designed to eradicate religious beliefs through the 'protracted use of violence.' One of the greatest tragedies of this dark era in human history was that those who sought to eliminate religious belief through violence and oppression believed they were justified in doing so.

They were accountable to no higher authority than the state.

Dawkins is clearly an ivory tower atheist, disconnected from the real and brutal world of the 20th century.

We make the point that religion can lead to violence and one of the things we need to work at very hard is to eliminate religious violence - but that means the reformation, not the abolition, of religion.

So who do you think Dawkins' book was written for?

The arguments that Dawkins put together can only lead to, at best, agnosticism or a very dogmatic form of atheism which isn't well grounded in facts. That makes me wonder who he wrote this book for. Clearly, Christian readers will say it's completely inaccurate, while more informed atheists will be very nervous about it because they'll say it's so simplistic and dogmatic that no one will take it seriously. I think the sort of person who reads it would be a poorly informed atheist who wants their faith reinforced.

Dawkins seems to think that saying something more loudly and confidently, while ignoring or trivialising counter-evidence, will persuade the open-minded that religious belief is a type of delusion. For the gullible and credulous, it is the confidence with which something is said that persuades, rather than the evidence offered in its support. Dawkins' astonishingly superficial and inaccurate portrayal of Christianity will simply lead Christians to conclude that he does not know what he is talking about - and that his atheism may therefore rest on a series of errors and misunderstandings. Ironically, the ultimate achievement of The God Delusion for modern atheism may be to suggest that it is actually atheism itself which may be a delusion about God.

He even compares believing in God like believing in Santa Claus or the Tooth Fairy

This is a very bad analogy to use. There is no empirical evidence that people regard God, Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy as being in the same category. I stopped believing in Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy when I was six, and after being an atheist for some years discovered God when I was 18. Many people come to believe in God when they're older, but I've yet to meet somebody who has started to believe in Santa Claus later on in life.

Why do you say that denying the existence of God on the basis of science is dishonest?

Science just doesn't take you there. It raises some very good questions about what God is like or whether we need to involve God at all. But what most science says is that you don't have to involve God in day to day explanations of how the world works.

So does Dawkins overstate the case for science in saying that it proves or disproves things relating to God?

Yes, and he's very naughty about this - often scientists say that what we believe today is the best way of looking at a certain thing, but in 20 years' time we might have changed our mind. Science is an ongoing project. Dawkins himself says in his book The Devil's Chaplain that in 150 years' time we may not believe Darwin's view of evolution any more. There are limits to science; science can't actually tell us the answer to lots of important questions such as whether there is there a God and what is the meaning of life.

What do you think was behind his writing the book?

I personally think that the public credibility of atheism is beginning to hit trouble, and that one of the reasons Dawkins wrote the book was to bolster the faith on the part of an atheism that's beginning to feel itself threatened. The big problem for atheism is that religion is coming back in a very big way, and if you're an atheist that shouldn't be happening. That helps us to understand the aggressiveness and hype you see in the book. It seems to me that what Dawkins presents us with is an atheism that is getting very shrill and angry because it feels it's not being taken seriously enough in Western culture.

Is atheism based on fear?

There is an element of fear. Atheism will appeal to someone who is very frightened about the resurgence of religion and the possibility of religious violence. One of the things the religious community needs to be aware of is the way it behaves and the impact on our church and faith.

As a schoolboy you were an atheist. What formed those beliefs?

I attended Down High School before going on to Methody to study pure and applied mathematics, physics and chemistry. It seemed obvious to me then that science led to atheism. Also, while I was at school the Troubles began and that seemed to confirm everything, that all religion did was generate conflict and violence, and therefore the best way of stopping conflict and violence was to get rid of religion. I tried, unsuccessfully, to start up an atheist society at school, which was certainly not a wise thing to do at the time and I didn't get much support!

Did your parents have any religious beliefs?

My parents (my father was a medical officer of health for Co Down; my mother was nurse at the Royal Victoria Hospital) belonged to the Church of Ireland and I tagged along to services most unwillingly, and when I was a boarder at Methody there were compulsory services, which I didn't like at all. But my parents were very good at letting me find my own way - but my way at that stage was reacting against the whole thing.

How did you find faith in God?

When I went to Wadham College at Oxford University in 1971 to study chemistry I was forced to re-examine my thinking. My own work in the sciences brought home to me that the link between science and atheism was much weaker than I thought, and also being confronted with very articulate Christians in Oxford showed me that my thinking was quite shallow. I realised that Christianity makes much more sense of things, and of life, than anything else. CS Lewis wrote: 'I believe in Christianity as I believe the sun has risen, not only because I see it but because by it I see everything else'. I would also argue that in terms of its own place in history the life, death and resurrection of Jesus is extremely well grounded. And above all, it's relevant.

What do you think future patterns in religion might be?

The real issue is that the heartland of Christianity these days isn't western Europe at all; it's places like Latin America and Africa. Just last week I received a copy of a book of mine which has been translated into Chinese by Peking University Press. Forty years ago the Peking University Press only published communist books and the reason they have started publishing mine is that there are so many Christians in China.

I think that Pentecostalism will be a big thing of future, even in Belfast and especially in working class areas, which is very interesting. In visiting various places in the world, I have noticed that in areas where Marxism used to predominate, such as some of the big slum areas of Latin America and the Philippines, Pentecostalism is popular today because it speaks very powerfully to people and takes their social concerns very seriously.

Is a public debate with Professor Dawkins on the cards?

I would like a proper discussion with him. This year I'm debating three of the world's leading atheists: Daniel Dennett, Peter Atkins and Susan Blackmore. As I know a lot about Richard Dawkins I think it would be good to have a discussion and see where it takes us.

The Dawkins Delusion?, £7.99, by Alister McGrath and Joanna Collicutt McGrath is published by SPCK

*******************
Some comments http://richarddawkins.net/article,622,n,n


12. Comment #20842 by Pi Guy on February 6, 2007 at 6:33 pm

"There is no empirical evidence that people regard God, Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy as being in the same category...but I've yet to meet somebody who has started to believe in Santa Claus later on in life."

I see. Since people believe god is in a different category than Santa Claus it's a foregone conclusion that one is real and one is not. Does this somehow seem like a rational defense of his position?

If you're still believeing in Santa at 10 or 11, the other kids will make fun of you until you stop believing. I believe that in the not too distant future the same thing will happen when the kids find out that another kid believes in god.

16. Comment #20854 by tomjlawson on February 6, 2007 at 7:53 pm

Find me a violent act that inevitably doesn't come back to religion and I will find you on a different planet. Even the genocides of Darfur were religiously motivated because although it was Arab muslims killing African muslims the Arabs read the racial preference of Arabs in the Qu'ran. If religion is removed from the equation all violent acts fall apart. The biggest argument is that Hitler used eugenics and atheism to justify his exterminations. If there were no Judaism, what reason would Hitler have to murder 6 million of his citizens? Try six degrees of separation with every historical atrocity and I bet you it leads back to a religious idea, and most of them will not need all six degrees.

17. Comment #20858 by Heatnzl on February 6, 2007 at 8:00 pm

It's official: Prof. Dawkins is a very naughty boy!

21. Comment #20879 by stevencarrwork on February 6, 2007 at 10:23 pm

Once more, an article by McGrath is refreshingly short of any more evidence for God than it is for Santa Claus (who was a historical character by the way).

27. Comment #20894 by Myryama on February 7, 2007 at 12:57 am

I think the interviewer in this article is almost as much to blame as the interviewee. McGrath is allowed to get away with things like:

"But it's obvious that people think a lot about their faith and this is grounds for evidence - but it's not the same as scientific proof."

This should have been challenged with, at the very least, "Can we see your evidence?"

McGrath is an experienced, educated man but he refuses to apply his scientific knowledge and methods to his religious beliefs. It seems to me that he has reached a point in his understanding of the world where he simply can't move forward any further scientifically and so he has assumed that God is responsible for the things he doesn't understand.

There will be no "McGrath's laws of Biochemistry"; he's limited himself to a minor footnote in the annals of an obsolete and obscure department (Historical Theology!). How sad.

28. Comment #20895 by denoir on February 7, 2007 at 1:00 am

 avatarI'm with Dennett - this clearly has to be studied. While abandoning religion altogether may be rational and beneficial in a social sense, there is obviously an interesting psychological mechanism in play worth investigating.

It is absolutely remarkable to see how religion manages to short-circuit reason in otherwise intelligent, well-educated people. One could maybe rationalize some form of agnostic or vague pantheistic position - in the best case scenario it would be irrelevant. However when they get into specifics such as "I would also argue that in terms of its own place in history the life, death and resurrection of Jesus is extremely well grounded." some significant pathways in the brain have been short-circuited. The brain is apparently very capable of compartmentalizing certain information or models that is in stark conflict with other information and models stored in the same brain - without the higher level post-processing functions raising any alarms.

My guess would be that this comes from the duality of specialization of brain regions and adaptive capabilities. I would not be surprised if these beliefs were fairly localized in the brain. It is conceivable that there are specialized regions that are still adaptive but that bypass the standard sanity check done by the neocortex. That type of region could have some completely different task originally but are usually today adapted to religious beliefs. Or perhaps these are regions that are useful for children before they collect enough direct experience.

Either way, it must have something to do with the brain and it would be very interesting to have it properly investigated.

42. Comment #20980 by alfonso on February 7, 2007 at 7:34 am

Dawkins himself says in his book The Devil's Chaplain that in 150 years' time we may not believe Darwin's view of evolution any more.


But he does not say that in 150 years time we will believe in a complete negation of Darwin's evolution! We will have more data that will help us understand better the gaps that Darwin might have conjectured instead of proven scientifically.

Or in other words, we might not call it Darwin's evolution because other scientists contribution might have diluted the initial mass of Darwin's theory, but it certainly will be based in the same principles, because they are true!

We do not build planes like we did 100 years ago, but we still can fly!

46. Comment #21019 by Student Grant on February 7, 2007 at 9:59 am

At last, Northern Ireland leads the Western World in something;
'Northern Ireland Heads Western Bigotry Index'
http://news.ulster.ac.uk/releases/2007/2980.html
Is there a connection between our pre-eminence in both bigotry and superstitious beliefs? With journalists like Judith Cole we'll never know.

47. Comment #21020 by Suffolk Blue on February 7, 2007 at 9:59 am

cheshirecat - I supect that one of the reasons Richard "makes such a fuss" is that he believes the continued existence of the human race depends largely on our dumping religion.

48. Comment #21022 by L.Minnik on February 7, 2007 at 10:03 am

"Dawkins seems to think that saying something more loudly and confidently, while ignoring or trivialising counter-evidence, will persuade the open-minded that religious belief is a type of delusion. For the gullible and credulous, it is the confidence with which something is said that persuades, rather than the evidence offered in its support"

"...the link between science and atheism was much weaker than I thought, and also being confronted with very articulate Christians in Oxford showed me that my thinking was quite shallow. I realised that Christianity makes much more sense of things, and of life, than anything else."

Can't help but think that McGrath describes himself as 'gullible' because he does not say that it was the 'evidence' presented by the Christians that convinced him, meeting with 'articulate' Christians.


I am very curous to hear exactly what he wants to do to 'eliminate religious violence' on his next debate, and why he does not place atheists together with people believing religions without a personal god, since only his point of view is 'right.'

49. Comment #21030 by Thrall on February 7, 2007 at 10:52 am

"Is atheism based on fear?"

Ah, that's hilarious. I nearly fell off my chair, what a silly question. Who is asking these questions, his co-author?

"death and resurrection of Jesus is extremely well grounded."

Just demonstrating on what a loon this guy is. If you can explain resurrection, please, go ahead.

50. Comment #21038 by willerror on February 7, 2007 at 11:13 am

--But it's obvious that people think a lot about their faith and this is grounds for evidence - but it's not the same as scientific proof. It belongs in a different category.—

And later:

--I would also argue that in terms of its own place in history the life, death and resurrection of Jesus is extremely well grounded.--

Well, which is it? If religious belief requires no scientific proof and only faith, what does it matter if the life, death and resurrection of Jesus is "well grounded"?

53. Comment #21067 by mattjuan on February 7, 2007 at 1:26 pm

I would also argue that in terms of its own place in history the life, death and resurrection of Jesus is extremely well grounded. And above all, it's relevant.

Is this an example of academic irresponsibility? WELL GROUNDED? Well grounded in what?

55. Comment #21125 by captain underpants on February 7, 2007 at 4:45 pm

Mr McGrath speaks of "poorly informed atheists". Perhaps he could tell us what precisely it is theists know that atheists do not know.

59. Comment #21195 by Love58 on February 8, 2007 at 1:53 am

" I stopped believing in Santa Claus and the Tooth Fairy when I was six, and after being an atheist for some years discovered God when I was 18"

An atheist as a teenager and then found God at 18.

It took me 20 years of thinking about the existance of God before I was able to say I was an atheist.

I am not an atheist because I am frightened, I am not an atheist because of religious resurgence, I am an atheist because I do not believe there is a God.

70. Comment #21909 by csb on February 11, 2007 at 3:52 pm

McGrath: As someone who grew up in Northern Ireland, I know about religious violence only too well.

I doubt that Professor Dawkins is an expert on Irish politics, but even he had the sense to realise that the conflict here is about more than just religion. So McGrath is essentially shooting himself in the foot here.

Stern assumptions 'implausible' - Lord Lawson on Climate Change

Nigel Lawson seems to be the leading politician attempting to question current climate change thinking.

Lord Lawson
Lord Lawson says money should not be spent 'foolishly'
The Stern report into climate change is based on "implausible" economic and scientific assumptions, former Chancellor Lord Lawson has told MPs.

Lord Lawson said the report was a "biased" attempt to please ministers rather than an "objective" study.

And money would be better spent on dealing with the effects of climate change rather than trying to halt it.

Sir Nicholas Stern described Lord Lawson's criticisms of his work as "name-calling without substance".

Sir Nicholas, a former World Bank economist, said in his government-sponsored report it would cost 1% of annual global GDP to stabilise greenhouse gas emissions.

But the cost of doing nothing now would cause a 5% to 20% loss in GDP.

Ice age

Lord Lawson told the Commons Treasury committee he believed the scientific assumptions behind Sir Nicholas's report were imprecise.

It is not a very analytical use of language and I don't think it bears scrutiny frankly
Sir Nicholas Stern on Lord Lawson's critique

He accepted it was "highly likely" man-made carbon emissions had contributed to temperatures increasing 0.7C during the 20th century.

"It has played a part, but we don't know how big a part," the Conservative peer told MPs.

Some climate scientists were predicting "another ice age" in the next 100 years, Lord Lawson added, but even if temperatures were going up there was little mankind could do about it.

It would make more sense to "monitor" any changes and deal with any harmful consequences "rather than attempt at huge cost to cut back drastically, as the Stern report recommends, on carbon dioxide emmissions".

'Highly implausible'

Lord Lawson told MPs: "One of the oddities of this whole field is that you apply weather forecasting to economic forecasting to demographic forecasting, you pile uncertainty on uncertainty and then apparently you come to a certain conclusion of what we should do.

"I think that is highly implausible to anybody that stops to think about it."

Even under the worst case scenario set out by Stern, future generations would only be slightly worse off financially as a result of global warming, Lord Lawson said.

"The proposition is that we should ask the people of this generation [to] make considerable sacrifices now so that their grandchildren, their great grandchildren, are seven times as well off as they are today, rather than only six times as well off."

He accused Sir Nicholas of being unduly influenced by the government's environmental policy.

"The Stern report has turned out basically to be a work of advocacy... but I think a more objective, analytical approach would have been more helpful.

"He [Stern] ramps up the alleged costs of warming to an inordinate degree and the benefits of warming are scarecely mentioned.

"The costs of mitigation are, in my view, grossly understated and the whole thing is very biased."

'Name calling'

Lord Lawson said Britain would see "great benefits" from climate change over the next 100 years.

And investing in new technology - and building better flood defences - would be a "quicker and easier" way to deal with rising temparatures than cutting emissions.

"We should be careful about future threats but we should be careful not to spend money foolishly," he told the committee.

Sir Nicholas, appearing earlier before the same committee, described Lord Lawson's criticisms of his work as "name- calling without substance," adding he could refute each of Lord Lawson's points.

Asked about the peer's description of carbon trading schemes as "capricious and corrupt," he said: "It is not a very analytical use of language and I don't think it bears scrutiny frankly.

"The emissions trading scheme works in the EU, if you think of it in terms of a two year history".

reposted from: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/6334497.stm
my highlights / emphasis / comments

Health teams in flu pandemic test


Woman sneezing
It is feared that a flu pandemic could kill 400,000 people in the UK
Hundreds of health officials from across Britain have taken part in an exercise to see how to deal with a flu pandemic.

Officials stayed in a bunker at the Department of Health, in London, as part of the logistical exercise.

The strategic trial is thought to be the biggest emergency planning event since the end of the Cold War.

Officials estimate that a flu pandemic would affect one in four people and cause 400,000 deaths in the UK.

The NHS is ready to implement its well-rehearsed plan
Sir Liam Donaldson
Chief Medical Officer for England

It is feared that the H5N1 strain of bird flu, which has killed 167 people, mostly in South East Asia, could mutate into a form that would put millions of people at risk worldwide.

At present, this virus cannot pass easily from human to human, and remains essentially a disease of birds.

But in theory if it mixed with a human flu virus it could mutate into a much more dangerous form.

Dummy run

In the trial scenario, the first infected person was a businessman from Surrey who recently returned from South East Asia.

The operation was an attempt to estimate the way in which certain aspects of the country's infrastructure, such as health, transport, education and food distribution would keep working during an outbreak.

Under current planning for an outbreak, schools would be closed in areas suffering an outbreak, to protect children and stem the spread of the disease.

A dedicated "flu line" would field calls from the public, and be used to distribute the stockpiles of Tamiflu antivirals to those who had symptoms of the virus, although there are concerns the "worried well" may attempt to gain the drugs unnecessarily.

Prototype vaccines could be given to health care workers who are most at risk of catching the flu, but there are currently no plans to vaccinate ministers and government officials.

Pressure

Hospitals may be put under extreme pressure - with some A&E units forced to closed, and patients transferred to other hospitals.

Employers might be asked to stagger working hours to prevent overcrowding on public transport in a bid to limit transmission.

People with flu symptoms would be asked to stay at home, but it is not expected the government would step in to cancel sporting events or other mass gatherings.

Sir Liam Donaldson, Chief Medical Officer for England, said: "When a flu pandemic hits the country the top priority for the government is to protect the public.

"The World Health Organization has said that the UK is at the forefront of preparations internationally, but it is always necessary to test our responses and improve them where required.

"This exercise is another part of the continual testing, refining, and developing of our plans.

"The NHS is ready to implement its well-rehearsed plan."

reposted from: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6377655.stm
my highlights / emphasis / comments

Think Humanist - Why treat religion as an endangered animal? - Julian Baggini

Julian Baggini talks about religion, atheism and the analogy with endangered species.

Julian Baggini

Julian Baggini is a British philosopher and writer. He is the author of The Pig that Wants to be Eaten and 99 other thought experiments (2005) and is a co-founder and editor of The Philosophers' Magazine. He has written for The Guardian, The Independent, The Observer, and the BBC, and has been a regular guest on BBC Radio 4's In Our Time. Baggini was awarded his Ph.D. in 1996 from University College, London for a thesis on the philosophy of personal identity. His forthcoming book: Welcome to Everytown: A Journey into the English Mind is published by Granta in march www.julianbaggini.com
Download the transcript of this Thought For Today



20-02-2007 (1.34 MB)
Download Julian Baggini - Duration: 2:55

Thought For The Day - Transcript - Julian Baggini - 16th February 2007

Isaiah Berlin divided thinkers up into either hedgehogs or foxes, depending on whether they knew one thing or many. I’d like to propose another mammalian distinction, one of belief systems rather than individuals, between squirrels and pandas. To some squirrels are adorable little critters; to others, they are rats with bushy tails who should be wiped out. But whatever you think of them, they thrive and propagate in the wild, without artificial assistance. Pandas, in contrast, are doomed to die out without special protection and nurturing.

From where I’m standing, both religion and atheism look squirrel-like to me. Provoking affection and scorn in equal measure, both are to be found everywhere human life flourishes.

But some people who claim to be friends of religion seem to want to treat it as though it were a panda, and afford it special protection. Sometimes it is placed in relatively pokey sanctuaries, like a ring-fenced period of time in the television or radio schedules; or a small prayer room. On other occasions the protected zone can be more extensive, such as when it means reserving seats in the second chamber of parliament for representatives of religions, or allowing denominational and single-faith schools. If I were religious I’d be concerned that my faith were being treated as though it were a species of belief so unable to cope in the modern, harsh world that it needed its own special conservation zones to stop it going extinct. It may be objected that a scared space is needed, not because religion is weak and vulnerable, but because society is now overwhelmingly secular. But this is a peculiar argument.

Our supposedly secular society is not an atheist one. It is simply neutral as regards matters of fundamental belief, so religion is no more in need of a sanctuary from the secular world as any other form of belief, including atheism. For those who care about religion, there is also a worry that segregation sends out a signal that it stands apart from the business of everyday life. By separating faith schools from other schools, faith programmes from other broadcasts, faith groups from other voluntary organisations, doesn’t it give ammunition to critics who maintain that religion has nothing to do with the everyday life of ordinary people? The challenge to religion’s various claims to special status is therefore not essentially anti-religious at all. If religion is real, relevant and vibrant, then let it enter the mainstream on all fours with other species of belief and show itself fit.

Only if it were impotent and maladapted, like the hapless Panda, would it need special, protected spaces.

Think Humanist Thought for the Day - Nigel Warburton

Nigel Warburton talks about the significance of death

Monday, February 19, 2007

Science Cafe, Bristol, Monday 26th at the Tobacco Factory

Upcoming Science Cafe in Bristol event. Wish I could go.

Vala Ragnarsdottir - One Planet Living: Delivering a habitable planet for future generations. Vala is Professor of Earth Sciences at Bristol University.

Top climate change scientists have come to the conclusion that an increase of more than 1C° from present temperatures in the coming century would deliver a different planet, with impacts including flooded lowlands, submerged islands, increases in severe weather and droughts, hundreds of millions of human refugees and over 50% extinction of species.

To avoid this 1 degree temperature rise we need to stabilise the CO2 in the atmosphere to below 450 ppmv. This means we need to reduce CO2 emissions by roughly 70% globally by 2030. To deliver a habitable planet to our grandchildren individuals and political leaders need to act now.

Vala will describe the "state we are in" and then some practical steps for individuals "to do their bit".

Bob Foster
0117 9730461

www.sciencecafe.co.uk